Will Scott Bessent say “Sanction”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Sanction” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Sanction
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…sell tickets. They pay landing fees. Anyone who accepts those we will sanction. So, they should be very clear that the state-owned Iranian airlines, they…
…is sitting in your banks, we are now willing to apply secondary sanctions, which is a very stern measure, and the Iranians should know that…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sanction |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Sanction”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Sanction” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Sanction” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Sanction’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/sanction (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=sanction · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP