Will Scott Bessent say “Russia / Russian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Russia / Russian” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Russia / Russian
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Well, the US -- this administration has put the hardest sanctions on Russia of any country. So, let's review what how the sanctions regime has…
We will not be renewing the general license on Russian oil, and we will not be renewing the general license on Iranian oil. Again, that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Russia / Russian |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Russia / Russian”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Russia / Russian” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Russia / Russian” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP