Will Scott Bessent say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…US has committed to discussing the matter of sanctions relief during this negotiation period. So, just to be clear, is sanctions relief for Iran on…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Well, I think that's going to be up to how the negotiations go. President Trump said this morning that he thinks we're nearing the end.…
…is President Trump creates what I would call "strategic uncertainty" in the negotiations. So he is more concerned about getting the best possible trade deals…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation |  Kalshi | No |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 24, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/negotiate-or-negotiated-or-negotiation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=negotiate%20%2F%20negotiated%20%2F%20negotiation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP