Will Scott Bessent say “Inflation / Inflationary”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Inflation / Inflationary” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Inflation / Inflationary
- Probability
- 62% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…had my first breakfast with Chair Warsh this morning, and I believe that he will do the right thing to balance inflation and growth. Yep.
…pockets of hardworking families. Small businesses are rebounding from years of Biden inflation, decades of unfair trade, and massive regulatory overreach. But thanks to President…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Yeah, I would also add that bringing down the terrible Biden inflation has been a priority for the first 100 days of the Trump administration.…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Inflation / Inflationary |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Inflation / Inflationary | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Inflation / Inflationary”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Inflation / Inflationary” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Inflation / Inflationary” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Inflation / Inflationary’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/inflation-or-inflationary (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=inflation%20%2F%20inflationary · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP