Will Scott Bessent say “Dividend / Stimulus”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Dividend / Stimulus” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 18, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Dividend / Stimulus
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dividend / Stimulus |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Dividend / Stimulus”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Dividend / Stimulus” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Dividend / Stimulus” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Dividend / Stimulus’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/dividend-or-stimulus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=dividend%20%2F%20stimulus · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP