Will Pete Hegseth say “Space Force”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Space Force” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (33%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Pete Hegseth
Space Force
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Space Force |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Space Force | Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Space Force | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Pete Hegseth say “Space Force”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Space Force” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (33%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Space Force” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Space Force’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/space-force (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=space%20force · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP