Will Pete Hegseth say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Pete Hegseth

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Probability
47% · n=6
Settled
3/6 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Pete Hegseth say during 60 Minutes? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the President's Funding Request request? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during Face the Nation? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Budget Hearing on Department of Defense? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his Press Briefing? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Department of Defense budget hearing? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Iran Press Briefing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Jun 14, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
May 29, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
May 12, 2026AI / Artificial Intelligence KalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026AI / Artificial Intelligence KalshiNo
Nov 8, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Pete Hegseth say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026.
What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP