Will Pete Hegseth say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePete Hegseth
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 47% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | |
| Jun 14, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | |
| May 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | |
| May 12, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Pete Hegseth say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP