Will Kathy Hochul say “Buffalo / Bill”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Buffalo / Bill” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (83%), most recently on Jan 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Buffalo / Bill
- Probability
- 60% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Buffalo / Bill |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Buffalo / Bill | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Buffalo / Bill | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Buffalo / Bill | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Buffalo / Bills | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Buffalo / Bills | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Buffalo / Bill”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Buffalo / Bill” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (83%), most recently on Jan 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Buffalo / Bill” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Buffalo / Bill’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/bill-or-buffalo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=bill%20%2F%20buffalo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP