Will Kamala Harris say “First-time Homebuyer”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Kamala Harris said “First-time Homebuyer” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2024 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kamala Harris

First-time Homebuyer

Probability
40% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kamala Harris say during her NAN Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel Live! on December 17? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the DNC meeting? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the Rachel Maddow Show? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the The Late Show With Stephen Colbert? · not listed

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What will Kamala say in concession speech? · not listed

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What will Kamala say during DC rally today? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview? · not listed

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What will Kamala say during Univision town hall? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 29, 2024First-time HomebuyerPolymarketYes
Sep 25, 2024First-time HomebuyerPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Kamala Harris say “First-time Homebuyer”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kamala Harris said “First-time Homebuyer” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2024 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2024.
What is the probability Kamala Harris says “First-time Homebuyer” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘First-time Homebuyer’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/first-time-homebuyer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=first%20time%20homebuyer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP