Will Kamala Harris say “China” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “China” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2024 (50%), most recently on Sep 25, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kamala Harris
China 3+ times
- Probability
- 34% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | China 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 25, 2024 | China 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kamala Harris say “China 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “China” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2024 (50%), most recently on Sep 25, 2024.
- What is the probability Kamala Harris says “China 3+ times” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘China 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/china-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=china%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP