Will Kamala Harris say “Border” 5+ times?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Border” 5+ times at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2024 (40%), most recently on Oct 16, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

34%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kamala Harris

Border 5+ times

Probability
34% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Kamala Harris yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kamala Harris say during her NAN Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say on Jimmy Kimmel Live! on December 17? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the DNC meeting? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the Rachel Maddow Show? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during the The Late Show With Stephen Colbert? · not listed

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What will Kamala say in concession speech? · not listed

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What will Kamala say during DC rally today? · not listed

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What will Kamala Harris say during Fox interview? · settled yes

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What will Kamala say during Univision town hall? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 16, 2024Border 5+ timesPolymarketYes
Oct 10, 2024Border 5+ timesPolymarketYes
Sep 13, 2024Border 5+ timesPolymarketNo
Sep 12, 2024Border 5+ timesPolymarketNo
Sep 10, 2024Border 5+ timesPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Kamala Harris say “Border 5+ times”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kamala Harris said “Border” 5+ times at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 10, 2024 (40%), most recently on Oct 16, 2024.
What is the probability Kamala Harris says “Border 5+ times” next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kamala Harris: ‘Border 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kamala-harris/words/border-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kamala-harris&word=border%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kamala-harris&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP