Will Joe Biden say “Obama”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Obama” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (25%), most recently on Feb 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
34%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Obama
- Probability
- 34% · n=8
- Settled
- 2/8 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Obama”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Joe Biden said “Obama” at 2 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (25%), most recently on Feb 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Obama” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Obama’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/obama (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=obama · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP