Joe Biden: Press conference, Jul 11, 2024
Polymarket What will Biden say during his Press Conference today?
Markets
12 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golf | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kamala Harris | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nancy Pelosi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Project 2025 | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dementia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| George Clooney | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obama | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alley cat | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drop out | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hunter | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Jill | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Old | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-biden-say-during-his-press-conference-today · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP