Joe Biden: Remarks, Nov 7, 2025
Polymarket What will Joe Biden say during the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?
Markets
17 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| America / American 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Folks 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| King / Dictator | Yes | 30%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Obama | Yes | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala / Harris | No | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Medicare 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nancy / Pelosi | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 25%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 24%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-joe-biden-say-during-the-ben-nelson-gala-on-november-7 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP