Will Joe Biden say “Inflation”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Joe Biden said “Inflation” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (33%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
27%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Joe Biden
Inflation
- Probability
- 27% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Joe Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Joe Biden say “Inflation”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Joe Biden said “Inflation” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (33%), most recently on Aug 19, 2024.
- What is the probability Joe Biden says “Inflation” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Joe Biden: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/joe-biden/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=joe-biden&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=joe-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP