Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Trump”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Trump” at 11 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (92%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

77%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Hakeem Jeffries

Trump

Probability
77% · n=12
Settled
11/12 (92%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Hakeem JeffriesguestFace the Nation (CBS), February 15, 2026 · Feb 15, 2026In transcript

…here unlawfully, as opposed to violently targeting law-abiding immigrant families, which is completely inconsistent with what Donald Trump promised the American people he would do.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his NAN remarks? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his MS NOW interview? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 19, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Apr 26, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 19, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 10, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Mar 9, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 24, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 20, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 16, 2026TrumpKalshiYes5
Feb 15, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Feb 1, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–
Jan 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Trump”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Trump” at 11 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (92%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Trump” next time?
77%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP