Hakeem Jeffries: Interview, Feb 1, 2026

Sun, Feb 1InterviewHistory onlyHakeem Jeffries

Updated

Markets

12 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Affordable / Affordability Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Alex Pretti Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Citizen / American Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Don Lemon Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / National Guard Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Noem Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Schumer Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Impeach / Impeachment No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutdown / Shut Down No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26FEB01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP