Will Hakeem Jeffries say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Shutdown / Shut Down” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 1, 2026 (36%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Feb 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

48%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Hakeem Jeffries

Shutdown / Shut Down

Probability
48% · n=11
Settled
4/11 (36%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Hakeem JeffriesguestFace the Nation (CBS), February 15, 2026 · Feb 15, 2026In transcript

…administration and Republicans have made a clear decision that they would rather shut down FEMA, shut down the Coast Guard and shut down TSA than…

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his NAN remarks? · settled no

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 16, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo–
Apr 26, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo–
Mar 19, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo–
Mar 10, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiYes–
Mar 9, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiYes–
Feb 24, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo–
Feb 20, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo–
Feb 16, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiYes3
Feb 15, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiYes–
Feb 1, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Hakeem Jeffries say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Hakeem Jeffries said “Shutdown / Shut Down” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 1, 2026 (36%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
What is the probability Hakeem Jeffries says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Hakeem Jeffries: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hakeem-jeffries/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hakeem-jeffries&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP