Will “Trump” be said on The Joe Rogan Experience next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said on The Joe Rogan Experience in 5 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (56%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 5/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Joe Rogan Experience
Trump
- Probability
- 50% · n=9
- Settled
- 5/9 (56%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…was in Copenhagen at the end, and they're selling ... You're seeing the merch on the street, and it's like little Trump holding a rattle.
…mines which is owned by Dubai, Middle Eastern guys, part of the Trump administration sort of peace for minerals arrangement between President Shishikedi and the…
…not spending money on this. Obama stopped it. And then when the Trump administration, and he kept doing it through EcoHealth Alliance, but then when…
…lot of anomalous data. There's stuff showing up at our nuclear sites everywhere. Donald Trump reportedly told Inner Circle aliens are living in Earth's oceans.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Trump |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 3, 2026 | Trump | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trump | Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Trump | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Trump | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Trump | Polymarket | Yes |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Trump | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Trump | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Trump |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Trump” said on The Joe Rogan Experience?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Trump” was said on The Joe Rogan Experience in 5 of 9 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (56%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump” is said on The Joe Rogan Experience next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Joe Rogan Experience: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/the-joe-rogan-experience/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-joe-rogan-experience&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-joe-rogan-experience&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP