The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Aug 16, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 10)
Markets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Right | Yes | 86%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| People 100+ times | Yes | 84%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Left | Yes | 83%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 10+ times | Yes | 71%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Red | Yes | 59%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Alien | Yes | 54%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Dude 20+ times | Yes | 42%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Blue | No | 59%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| People 200+ times | No | 45%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| OpenAI | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SpaceX | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tesla | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Microsoft | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Obsolete | No | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | 12%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-august-10-20260807160754642 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP