The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, May 10, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (May 4)
Markets
29 words · 17 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| People 100+ times | Yes | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Apple | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Awesome | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Banana | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crazy 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dog | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fight | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 25+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spotify | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unbelievable | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| YouTube | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 45%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Congress | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crack / Dope | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hegemony | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Influencer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NBA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NFL | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Octopus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pig | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pyramid | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chocolate | No | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Cookie | No | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-may-4 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP