The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Feb 15, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 15)
Markets
19 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drugs | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| People 100+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden / Kamala | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dude 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hollywood | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Yeah 100+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 23%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Protest | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| DOJ | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grammy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jamie 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pam / Bondi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-february-15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP