The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Mar 8, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)
Markets
19 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Yes | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Impossible | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Island | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jackass / Moron | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| People 70+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jamie 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Conspiracy | No | 66%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Dude 10+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alien | No | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Jamie 5+ times | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Silver | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hockey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| State of the Union | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-march-8 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP