The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, May 3, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (April 27)
Markets
26 words · 13 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy 15+ times | Yes | 81%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| War | Yes | 76%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Shit 10+ times | Yes | 73%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Dude 10+ times | Yes | 65%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 10+ times | Yes | 64%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Table | Yes | 63%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Yes | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – | |
| Computer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Military | Yes | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Matrix | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Disney | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chocolate | Yes | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Insurance | Yes | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 50%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Monkey | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Achievement | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cheese | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cookie | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Simulation | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Snake | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tiger | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Best friend | No | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Mickey Mouse | No | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Invasion | No | 22%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-april-27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP