The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Jan 25, 2026

By Jan 25EpisodeHistory onlyThe Joe Rogan Experience

Updated

Markets

18 words · 6 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Alien Yes53%n=2 from settlement history–
Crazy 15+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Jamie 4+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
People 100+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
Protest Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Ranch Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Elon / Musk No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trump No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
Crypto / Bitcoin No–new new word, no probability yet–
Deepfake No–new new word, no probability yet–
Democrat 10+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Greenland No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ozempic No–new new word, no probability yet–
Testosterone / TRT No–new new word, no probability yet–
UFO No–new new word, no probability yet–
Wild Shit No–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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