What is the probability “Thousand / Million 10+ times” is said on MrBeast next time?

52%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Thousand / Million” be said 10+ times on MrBeast next time?

Name: MrBeast: “Thousand / Million 10+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Thousand / Million” was said 10+ times on MrBeast at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 2 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

52%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 14:28 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

MrBeast

Thousand / Million 10+ times

Probability: 52% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)
Last 6 episodes: said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video? · not listed

Open the appearance