Will “Chocolate” be said 3+ times on MrBeast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Chocolate” was not said 3+ times on MrBeast at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1 of them. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
MrBeast
Chocolate 3+ times
- Probability
- 20% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 6 episodes
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Chocolate 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Chocolate 3+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Chocolate 3+ times” said on MrBeast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Chocolate” was not said 3+ times on MrBeast at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 30, 2025.
- What is the probability “Chocolate 3+ times” is said on MrBeast next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “MrBeast: ‘Chocolate 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/mrbeast/words/chocolate-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mrbeast&word=chocolate%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mrbeast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP