Will “Alignment” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Alignment” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 14 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (14%), most recently on May 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 7 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Alignment
- Probability
- 21% · n=14
- Settled
- 2/14 (14%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…where that goes? It certainly, in my view, does not create more alignment. To me, it creates more risk that the model is going to…
…they are training Claude to refuse human instruction. Now, they call this alignment, but I don't understand how this is aligned. This would be the…
…a responsibility to release products that your customers actually want. And by the way, this got me thinking about this whole area of alignment research.
question. We're going to get into it. Evan Hubinger, who leads Alignment Science at Anthropic, responded to Jacob. Quote, Jacob is correct here. We really…
Every settled listing
newest first · 14 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alignment |  Polymarket | No |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| May 29, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| May 22, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 15, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| May 8, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Alignment | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Alignment” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Alignment” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 14 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (14%), most recently on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Alignment” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Alignment’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/alignment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=alignment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP