ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Jul 23, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
16 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 60%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 58%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Bertha | Yes | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| JD / Vance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Orca | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Saudi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Secret Service | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 23%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Foreclosure | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Tesla | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| LeBron | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP