ABC World News Tonight, September 8, 2026
On the Sep 8, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 7 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 15 of 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 57%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Pardon | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 58%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Hurricane | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Renoir | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 25%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Job / Hiring | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Football | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Vance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nepal / Nepali | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Saudi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| New Mexico / New America | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Smithsonian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| US Open | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…tonight, in an ABC News exclusive, Lindsey Clancy's defense attorney asking President Trump for a pardon for Clancy. But can the president do that? Also…
…exclusive with Lindsay Clancy's defense attorney now asking President Trump for a pardon for Clancy. ABC's Aaron Katursky leading us off tonight. Tonight, for the…
…pilot right after the crash. The breaking news at this hour involving Iran. Tonight, the U.S. attacking Iranian tankers. This evening, Iran now saying it…
…tonight. Rachel, thank you. We turn now to the state of emergency. Hurricane Lowell slamming Hawaii, wins more than 100 miles per hour. And these…
…Americans are also feeling the impact of President Trump's trade war with Canada. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney imposing tariffs on $20 billion worth of…
…races to save a child from oncoming traffic. Two thieves stealing four Renoir paintings worth millions but dropping two of the paintings on the way…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-08:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-08:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP