ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 10, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
15 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 61%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Jalapeno | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 62%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Blanche | No | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Kardashian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tupac | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zuckerberg | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midterm | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Gaza | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 33%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| FIFA | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 29%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Ebola | No | 27%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP