ABC World News Tonight, August 24, 2026
On the Aug 24, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 5 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 54%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Canada | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 49%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Bessent | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Drone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tupac | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Deshaun Watson | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=23 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
Also breaking late today, the Supreme Court decision on President Trump's attempt to limit mail-in ballots ahead of the midterm elections. What the court is…
…all of this remain tonight. Jay O'Brien live. Thank you. Also tonight, President Trump's dramatic escalation of his trade war with Canada. Tonight, some Canadian
…understood that. It comes as the administration turns up economic pressure on Iran. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was expected to unveil a host of sanctions…
…today on President Trump's attempt to limit mail-in ballots ahead of the midterm elections. The president has long made this an issue, signing an executive…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-08-24:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-08-24:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP