ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Jul 29, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
16 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 63%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 62%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Fifth | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iraq | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maintain / Unchanged | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blanche | Yes | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| American Airlines | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Circular | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hike / Hiked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | 37%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Legionnaires | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 24%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 22%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP