ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Jul 24, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 63%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 62%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Bon Jovi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Measles | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Yemen / Houthi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| LeBron | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 51%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora | No | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bronco | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jimothy / Raccoon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Salmonella | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 23%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP