ABC World News Tonight, September 23, 2026
On the Sep 23, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 8 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 18 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese / Xi | Yes | 19 | 19 | ✓ | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 64%n=43 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 49%n=52 from settlement history | – |
| Sully / Sullenberger | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UN / United Nations | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Six Flags | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 39%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 61%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| DoorDash | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Lionel Richie | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Dolly / Parton | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taiwan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian / Putin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Measles | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…rescue a pilot going down six miles offshore. Also breaking, moments ago, China's President Xi arriving in the U.S. President Trump and the First Lady…
China's President Xi arriving here in the U.S., President Trump and the First Lady going to Joint Base Anders to greet him. It comes amid…
…cannons assembled to fire off a salute. The president with a warm greeting, even as China supports Iran in its war against the United States.
with the miracle on the Hudson hero pilot, Captain Sully Sullenberger, his diagnosis and his message for millions of families watching. Tonight, those cameras that…
Meantime, with world leaders in New York City tonight for the U.N., heightened alert as three people are seen climbing from a manhole not far…
…Tonight, the new concerns lawsuits filed targeting a popular roller coaster at Six Flags Magic Mountain. Attorneys now say more than 100 people have come…
…deal? And certainly another critical issue for this summit, the rapid growth of AI and whether there's room for cooperation between the U.S. and China.
…at each scene. That's kind of scary to me because I've never heard of that. Kratom is primarily sold at gas stations and smoke shops.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-23:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-23:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP