ABC World News Tonight, September 29, 2026
On the Sep 29, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 5 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 13 of 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 14- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 46%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 63%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Hurricane / Polo | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Jack Smith | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI / Anthropic | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese / Xi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 60%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=56 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX / Starship | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Pentagon | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| America.gov | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…New York's governor is now saying. Tonight, with those new warnings over AI's threat to humans, This evening, what President Trump just said, with several…
…Tonight, amid those new warnings over AI's threat to humans, what President Trump said late today with several AI leaders standing right there behind him,…
…Garfield. The storms are fueled in part by tropical moisture from the Pacific, including Hurricane Polo that made a second landfall this morning in Mexico.
…you tonight. To the other news here this evening, former Special Counsel Jack Smith up on Capitol Hill today testifying before the Republican-led Senate Judiciary…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-29:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-29:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP