Will “Supreme Leader” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Supreme Leader” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Supreme Leader

Probability
38% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 16, 2026Supreme LeaderKalshiNo
Mar 9, 2026Supreme LeaderKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Supreme Leader” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Supreme Leader” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026.
What is the probability “Supreme Leader” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Supreme Leader’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/supreme-leader (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=supreme%20leader · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP