Will “Russia / Ukraine” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Ukraine” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

39%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Russia / Ukraine

Probability
39% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 23, 2026Russia / UkraineKalshiYes
Mar 16, 2026Russia / UkraineKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Russia / Ukraine” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Ukraine” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026.
What is the probability “Russia / Ukraine” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Russia / Ukraine’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/russia-or-ukraine (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=russia%20%2F%20ukraine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP