Will “Iran / Iranian” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was not said on The Rachel Maddow Show in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

37%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Iran / Iranian

Probability
37% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 25, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 18, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Iran / Iranian” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was not said on The Rachel Maddow Show in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 18, 2026.
What is the probability “Iran / Iranian” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP