Will “ICE” be said on The Briefing next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “ICE” was said on The Briefing in 5 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (42%), most recently on Sep 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 8, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

45%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes no no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Briefing with Jen Psaki

ICE

Probability
45% · n=12
Settled
5/12 (42%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Amy Klobuchar say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

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What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Josh Shapiro say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will JB Pritzker say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted.

JB Pritzkerguest30:03In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

JB Pritzkerguest31:41In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Troy Jackson say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Troy Jacksonguest13:18In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Josh Turek say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 29, 2026ICEKalshiNo0
Sep 8, 2026ICEKalshiYes2
Sep 2, 2026ICEKalshiYes1
Aug 26, 2026ICEKalshiNo0
Aug 20, 2026ICEKalshiNo–
Jun 24, 2026ICEKalshiYes–
Jun 23, 2026ICEKalshiYes–
Jun 18, 2026ICEKalshiYes–
Jun 17, 2026ICEKalshiNo–
Jun 12, 2026ICEKalshiNo–
Jun 3, 2026ICEKalshiNo–
Nov 27, 2025ICEKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “ICE” said on The Briefing?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “ICE” was said on The Briefing in 5 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (42%), most recently on Sep 8, 2026.
What is the probability “ICE” is said on The Briefing next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP