The Briefing with Jen Psaki: Episode, Aug 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Abdul El-Sayed say during MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rogers | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 27%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 61%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AIPAC | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Gaza | No | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 46%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim / Islam | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bernie / Sanders | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPSAKIMENTION-26AUG20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP