Will “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said on Meet the Press in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 29, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meet the Press
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional
- Probability
- 52% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said on Meet the Press in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 29, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/constitution-or-constitutional-or-unconstitutional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=constitution%20%2F%20constitutional%20%2F%20unconstitutional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP