Will “Ceasefire” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ceasefire” was not said on Meet the Press in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meet the Press
Ceasefire
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Ceasefire” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ceasefire” was not said on Meet the Press in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 12, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ceasefire” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Ceasefire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/ceasefire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=ceasefire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP