Will “2028 / Campaign” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “2028 / Campaign” was said on Meet the Press in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meet the Press
2028 / Campaign
- Probability
- 43% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 18 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 2028 / Campaign |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 2028 / Campaign | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 2028 / Campaign | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 10, 2026 | 2028 / Campaign | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “2028 / Campaign” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “2028 / Campaign” was said on Meet the Press in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 10, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “2028 / Campaign” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘2028 / Campaign’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/2028-or-campaign (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP