Will “JD / Vance” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “JD / Vance” was said on Fox News in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
36%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
JD / Vance
- Probability
- 36% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | JD / Vance |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JD / Vance | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 6, 2026 | JD / Vance | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 9, 2026 | JD / Vance | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “JD / Vance” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “JD / Vance” was said on Fox News in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 6, 2026.
- What is the probability “JD / Vance” is said on Fox News next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘JD / Vance’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/jd-or-vance (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=jd%20%2F%20vance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP