Will “ICE / National Guard” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / National Guard” was not said on Fox News in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
ICE / National Guard
- Probability
- 37% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | ICE / National Guard |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 1, 2026 | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “ICE / National Guard” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / National Guard” was not said on Fox News in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE / National Guard” is said on Fox News next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘ICE / National Guard’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/ice-or-national-guard (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=ice%20%2F%20national%20guard · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP