What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?

40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any cast member.

Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on Saturday Night Live next time?

Name: Saturday Night Live: “Trump (3+ times)” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Saturday Night Live in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 11, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: any cast member

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 03:01 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Saturday Night Live

Trump (3+ times)

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: any cast member

We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Will Ferrell say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Apr 11, 2026	Trump (3+ times)	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said on Saturday Night Live?: As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Saturday Night Live in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 11, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?: 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: any cast member.

Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP