Will “Mayor / Mamdani” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mayor / Mamdani” was not said on Saturday Night Live in any of the 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

16%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Saturday Night Live

Mayor / Mamdani

Probability
16% · n=6
Settled
0/6 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Will Ferrell say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 16, 2026Mayor / MamdaniKalshiNo
May 9, 2026Mayor / MamdaniKalshiNo
Apr 11, 2026Mayor / MamdaniKalshiNo
Apr 11, 2026Mayor / MamdaniKalshiNo
Apr 4, 2026Mayor / MamdaniKalshiNo
Mar 8, 2026Mayor / MamdaniKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Mayor / Mamdani” said on Saturday Night Live?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mayor / Mamdani” was not said on Saturday Night Live in any of the 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 8, 2026.
What is the probability “Mayor / Mamdani” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?
16%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Mayor / Mamdani’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/mamdani-or-mayor (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=mamdani%20%2F%20mayor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP