Will “Israel / Israeli” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Saturday Night Live in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any cast member
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Saturday Night Live
Israel / Israeli
- Probability
- 24% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: any cast member
We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Israel / Israeli |  Kalshi | No |
| May 10, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | No |
| May 3, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Israel / Israeli” said on Saturday Night Live?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on Saturday Night Live in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Israel / Israeli” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any cast member.
Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP