What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any cast member.

Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?

Name: Saturday Night Live: “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on Saturday Night Live in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any cast member

Last 10: 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: any cast member

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 21:14 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Saturday Night Live

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability: 41% · n=4
Settled: 2/4 (50%)

Next listing counts: any cast member

We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Will Ferrell say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 17, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
May 10, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
May 3, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	No
Apr 11, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often is “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” said on Saturday Night Live?: As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said on Saturday Night Live in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 17, 2026.
What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?: 41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: any cast member.

Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP